Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 1 February 2026 - 4 March 2026

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Despite the New Zealand summary for February showing a very strong quake correlation with the forecasted risk locations from the previous 20-27 January forecast period, the wider Pacific on the other hand showed little concrete correlation with the previous forecast period.
The 2 February Southern Chile 6.2 was in a risk location from the previous forecast period but not much else correlates in any obvious way.
A major Mag 6 quake period evolved in February south of Fiji with typically deep quakes from the region likely to cause more action in the region during the next quake period, including Kermadecs, Tonga and possibly Vanuatu.
4 February.
50km SW Raoul Island 6.1 11.39pm
11 February.
South of Fiji 6.2 9.44am
13 February.
Coquimbo, Chile 6.2 2.34am
16 February.
Central Kuril Islands 6.0 4.58am
16 February.
Offshore Oregon 6.0 4.25pm
17 February.
Kamchatka Peninsula 6.0 10.42am
22 February.
South of Fiji 6.0 8.54pm
23 February.
Northern Borneo 7.1 5.57am
Aleutian Islands 6.1 6.11pm
1 March.
South of Fiji 6.3 6.44pm
2 March.
Northern Marianas Islands 6.0 4.55pm
3 March.
Offshore Northern Sumatra 6.2 5.56pm