Forecast for 11 January 2015 - 13 January 2015

Quake activity may increase. Mag 6+ risk areas are South of Kermadec Islands. Mag 5+ risk areas are South of Fiordland. Mag 4+ risk areas areas are West of Fiordland, Wilberforce Valley, North Wairarapa, East Cape. Aftershocks in the Wilberforce have dropped to Mag 2 in the last 24-48 hours...watch out for a pickup. Watch out for confirmation of new eruption of Hunga Ha'apai and more eruptions after 13 January. Hunga Ha'apai, Kermadecs. NZ volcanoes quiet. Summary. This forecast was a great success in the end. Excellent location success this time in Southern Kermadecs, North Wairarapa and Fiordland. Late, big action came early on 14 Jan. Wilberforce Valley was quiet. The eruption of Hunga Ha'apai has been an exciting forecast success. (Geonet scientists were reported today packing their boardshorts and suntan lotion for Tonga while this Service is pulling on tramping boots soon for the Wilberforce.) There is something volcanic happening at the moment in the Kermadec Islands. Weather has been bad there, no visual confirmation yet.... 9 Jan. South of Kermadecs 4.4, North of White Island 4.2 11 Jan. Southern Kermadecs 4.5 12 Jan. North Wairarapa 4.4 14 Jan. Fiordland 5.5 (4.8 USGS), Masterton 4.1, Kermadecs 5.0

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