Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Forecast for 20 January 2015 - 23 January 2015

Quake activity may increase. Magnitude 4+ risk areas are East Cape, North Wairarapa, Wilberforce Valley, Fiordland. Quakes may be widespread. Lunar modulation may centre these quakes around low tide.
Watch out for global extreme weather events, bigger quake activity in South America.
Global volcanic activity may increase near the end of the forecast period. NZ volcanoes quiet. Summary. This forecast was a mixed success. Quakes were very subdued except for the big deep Vanuatu rumble. 23 Jan got to Mag 3+ with good tidal correlation. Volcanoes are still the big news, so many. Bardarbunga, Kilauea, Fuego, Aso, Sakurajima, Cerro Machin, Cerro Negro de Mayasquer, Fogo, Colima, Sabancaya, Shishaldin, Karymsky, Klyuchevskoy, Ubinas. Hunga Ha'apai has been quiet for a few days, eruptiing again on 24 January, fitting the forecast profile perfectly. The Rarotonga seismic signal (see Facebook link) shows the eruptions on Xmas, 10-14 Jan, and 24 Jan. 23 Jan. North of Tauranga 4.6, Auckland 3.3, Motueka 3.6, South of Fiordland 3.6, Vanuatu 6.8. 24 Jan. South Taranaki Bight 4.0, North of Tauranga 3.7