Forecast for 23 March 2015 - 27 March 2015
Quake activity may increase. Magnitude 4+ risk areas are East Cape, Bay of Plenty, Volcanic Plateau, Fiordland. Global Mag 6+ risk areas are Eastern Solomon Islands, Sumatra, Java. Global volcanoes may become very active from 26 March. Shiveluch, Villarrrica. Possibility of global Mag 7+ quake from 26 March. Global confidence = low. Forecast map on Facebook link. This forecast was a big volcano success. Eruptions fitted the forecast profile perfectly. Quakes weren't such a sparkling success, nothing much worked. Local and global quake activity was at high frequency as expected but seldom at high magnitude. Many Mag3 + quakes in NZ. Volcanoes picked up on 23 March and were erupting strongly by 27 March. There may be more eruptions into the new quake forecast period beginning 29 March.
Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service © 2013 - 2020