Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Forecast for 20 May 2015 - 22 May 2015

Quake activity may increase. Magnitude 4+ risk areas are East Cape, Bay of Plenty, Taupo, Taumarunui, South Clarence Valley, North Canterbury, Eastern Arthurs Pass, Wanaka, Fiordland. Mag 5+ risk areas are Kermadec Islands. Mag 6+ risk areas are Fiji, Vanuatu, Nepal, North of Philippines, South of Japan, Japan, Kuril Islands, Sea of Okhotsk, Ionian Sea, Oregon USA. Possibility Mag 7 in West Pacific. Global location confidence = low. Volcanic activity may increase after 22 May. Hakone, Sakurajima, Bulusan, Sinabung, Kilauea, Piton de la Fournaise. NZ volcanoes quiet. Map on facebook Link. Summary. The forecasted big quake activity was largely borne out during the period. On 20 May the South Pacific pushed. Big quakes at Santa Cruz Islands, Tonga, Vanuatu, Southeast Pacific Ocean. NZ also pushed, excellent location success. Big quakes continued in the Southwest Pacific until the end of the forecast period. Global quakes were highly elevated in nearly all forecasted locations. Action is likely to continue. World media has hardly mentioned the mega action from the last few weeks and days except for Nepal. Pacific volcanoes are very inflated. Sakurajima and Piton de la Fournaise are erupting continuously. Kilauea and Hakone are inflating. 20 May. White Island 4.2, Wanaka 4.0, SE Pacific Ocean 6.7, Tonga 6.0, Vanuatu 5.8. 21 May. Reefton 3.8, Santa Cruz Islands 6.8. 22 May. Rotorua 3.9, England 4.3. 23 May. South Clarence Valley 4.5, Santa Cruz Islands 6.8, 6.8.