Aotearoa Summary. 25 October 2015

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Quake activity may increase.
Magnitude 4+ risk areas are Bay of Plenty, East Cape, Hope, Lewis Pass, Murchison, Fiordland.
Activity may be stronger in the South Island.
Volcanoes quiet.
Forecast confidence = low.

Quakes were mostly north of New Zealand during the period, justifying the low confidence forecast.
Wanaka 4.3 was very late but met the expected activity shift to the South Island.
24 October. Tolaga Bay 3.8
25 October. Kermadecs 5.1, 4.4
27 October. Kermadecs 5.7, 5.1; Wanaka 4.3

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