Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Aotearoa Summary. 31 December 2015 - 5 January 2016

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Quake activity may increase.
Magnitude 5+ risk areas are South Taranaki Bight, Kahurangi, Murchison, St Arnaud.
Magnitude 4+ risk areas are East Cape, Bay of Plenty, Taumarunui, Rotorua, Gisborne, Eketahuna, Kaikoura, North Canterbury, Wanaka, Hunter Valley, Haast, Fiordland.
Volcanoes quiet.
Note. South Taranaki Bight 5.1 (4.8 USGS) occurred before this forecast was posted. Quake driving conditions have arrived earlier than 1 January. (see Facebook/Roary Arbon)

Update.
1 January. Taumarunui 4.3
2 January. Taumarunui 4.0, Southeast of St Arnaud 4.0
The forecast period is extended to 3 January.
Todays big push in the Kermadecs has created a quakestorm into New Zealand.
Excellent location success so far and more action possible.
The Southwest Pacific is under heavy pressure.

Update.
1 January. Taumarunui 4.3
Heavy quake driving conditions have set in.
More action seems highly likely next day and 3 January.

Summary.
31 December. South of Fiordland 4.6, South Taranaki Bight 5.1
1 January. Taumarunui 4.3
2 January. Taumarunui 4.0, Southeast of St Arnaud 4.0
4 January. Northeast of Castlepoint 5.1 (4.6 USGS), 4.3; East Taranaki Bight 3.8
5 January. Seddon 3.9, Opotiki 4.7
The early arrival of quake conditions occurred before a detailed forecast was posted.
The period went on to be very long with heavy action.
Great location success.
Volcanoes were quiet although heavy volcanic pressure is present in the Kermadecs.
The period has blended into the following forecast period, beginning 6 January.