Pacific Summary. 8 February 2016 - 14 February 2016

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Quake activity may increase.
Magnitude 6+ risk areas are South of Japan, Philippines, Marianas Islands, Molucca Sea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Tonga, Mexico, Guatemala, Southern Chile.
Volcanoes may become active near the end of the period. Sakurajima, Soputan, Santiaguito.

Update. 9 February.
9 February. Bougainville 6.4
Peru, Sumatra are added to Mag 6+ risk areas.

Update. 10 February.
10 February. Chile 6.3
Great location success during the period so far.
Solar quake driving conditions weakened slightly today but may power up tomorrow.
Volcanoes are quiet but may become active soon.

Update. 11 February.
11 February. Tonga 5.5, 5.0. South of Kermadecs 5.0
Tonga and Kermadecs very active today.
Tonga has been very active right through the period, many Mag 5.
Fuego (Guatemala) erupts 10 Feb. More volcanic activity is possible as the period closes. Japan, Guatemala.

Update. 13 February.
13 February. Sumba 6.3, Southern Peru 5.2
The forecast period is extended to 14 February.
Quake driving conditions are still present.
Indonesia, slightly east of the forecasted Sumatra was the only Mag 6 today.
Southern Peru, like Tonga has been active but under Mag 6.
Aotearoa quiet. Volcanoes quiet.
The period has become a slow burner so very late quakes are still possible.
New quake driving conditions will arrive late 15 or early 16 February.

Summary.
9 February. Bougainville 6.4
10 February. Chile 6.3
11 February. Tonga 5.5, 5.0, 5.0
12 February. Sumba 6.3
13 February. Southern Peru 5.2
14 February. Philippines 5.1, Java 5.1, Christchurch 5.7, Tonga 5.3
This forecast was a great success.
Early Mag 6 quakes were right in the zone.
Quakes dropped to Mag 5 as the period progressed.
14 February produced a swag of Mag 5"s in forecasted areas, especially Tonga.
Volcanoes were relatively quiet but may still erupt after the quake period ends. Fuego erupted 11 February, Zhupanovsky 12 February.
A new quake period due early 16 February may be Southern Hemisphere and equatorial.
New forecast posted 15 February.

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