Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Forecast for 25 October 2013 - 29 October 2013

Forecasting conditions have become very difficult and likely to remain that way for the next few days and maybe weeks. Quakes may arrive in bursts. Higher risk areas are East Cape, Hawkes Bay, Seddon. Volcanoes quiet. Summary. Forecasting conditions became nearly impossible throughout the period. The sun flexed it's muscles in a way not seen by this service before. remnants of the storm remain this morning with the last of the shock arrivals concurrent with this morning's 6.2 quake on the Tonga Trench. Global activity remained very high, locally also higher frequency but seldom above 4.0 Summary. October 25. Honshu 7.1, South Sandwich Islands 6.7 October 29. Kermadecs 5.0, North of East Cape 4.8 October 30. North of East Cape 4.5, Chile 6.2 October 31. Christchurch 4.2, Taiwan 6.3 November 1. Kermadecs 4.7, north of East Cape 4.6, Chile 6.6