Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 16 November 2016

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Quake activity may increase.
Magnitude 6+ risk areas are New Zealand, Vanuatu, Santa Cruz Islands, Guadalcanal, Northern Mexico.
Volcanoes could increase activity. Turrialba, Shiveluch, Sabancaya.
The lava lake at Kilauea may come close to overflowing.
Forecast confidence = low.

Summary.
16 November.Tonga 5.6
Pacific and local activity settled today as solar conditions weakened and the end of the forecast period approaches.
The biggest quake at Tonga was a late arrival by 12 hours from 15 November forecast.
No info available on Kilauea at present.
The lava lake was at 10 meters yesterday and very slowly rising.