Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 13 December 2016 - 14 December 2016

Click to Enlarge

Magnitude 6 risk areas are New Zealand, Kermadec Islands, Tonga, New Britain, Bismarck Sea, South of Philippines, Eastern Honshu, Peru, Central Chile, Northern Chile.
Quakes may be infrequent.
Possibility Mag 7 Pacific. Higher risk Peru, Chile.
Magnitude 4 risk areas are Northern Italy, France, Spain, Portugal.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Minor eruptions Sabancaya, Colima, Fuego, Sinabung.

Update. 14 December 12.45am
The forecast period is extended to 14 December.
All locations and Magnitudes are unchanged.

Update. 14 December. 10.30am
Pacific quakes are below Mag 6.
The forecast is now chasing an isolated big quake as quakes gradually settle.
South America seems higher risk.
Quakes increased in frequency last few days in France, Northern Italy and even Portugal.
Volcanoes are hot, many in Latin America throwing ash.
The lava lake at Kilauea is low but an eruption seems possible next few months and also nearby Mauna Loa.
The period is likely to be extended.

Summary.
The big isolated quake hasn't come during the period.
Solar quake driving conditions are weakening as anticipated but aren't fluctuating between weak and strong so quakes are quiet and lunar modulation non existent.
Volcanoes are hot.
Sumatran volcano Sinabung and Colima (Mexico) have let go several times.
European quake activity was high along with rising pressure at Sicilian volcano Etna.