Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Aotearoa Summary. 16 December 2016

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Magnitude 6+ risk areas are South of Cape Kidnappers, Upper Crooked River, Culverden, Southwest of Kaikoura, Kaikoura, East of Kaikoura, Seaward Kaikouras, Lower Clarence River, Offshore Clarence, Waita River, Ward, Cape Campbell.
Kaikoura is higher risk.
Magnitude 5 risk areas are Amberley, South of Wellington, Turakirae Head, Northern Cook Strait, Levin, Porangahau, Eketahuna, Dannevirke, Waipukurau, North of Wairoa, Gisborne, East Cape.
Magnitude 4 risk areas are Fiordland, Eastern Bay of Plenty, Rotorua, Tokoroa, Murupara, Urewera.
Quakes are likely to be very infrequent.
Low possibility for an isolated Mag 6.
Lunar modulation may center quakes around low tide.
Low Tide Cape Kidnappers = 2.00am, 2.00pm
Kaikoura Low Tide = 1.00am, 1.00pm
Hokitika Low Tide = 7.00am, 7.00pm
The wider 8-16 December quake period is ending.
Quakes may pickup briefly late 17 December before a new quake period 19-25 December.

Summary.
Culverden 4.9 8.21am
Kaikoura 4.1 2.48pm
Upper Crooked River 4.0 4.15pm
Quakes fell in Mag 6 risk areas and low frequency.
Good location success.