Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Aotearoa Summary. 1 January 2017 - 2 January 2017

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Magnitude 6 risk areas are Orongorongo River, West of Masterton, Eketahuna, Dannevirke, Waipukurau, Cape Kidnappers, Northeast of Cape Campbell.
Magnitude 5 risk areas are Upper Crooked River, Culverden, Kaikoura, Offshore Kaikoura, Seaward Kaikouras, Lower Clarence, Ward, Cape Campbell, Wairoa, Gisborne, Opotiki, Northern Urewera, Murupara, Rotorua.
Magnitude 4 risk areas are Fiordland, Levin, West of Levin, East Cape.
A significant shift away from Kaikoura may be underway.
Location confidence =low.
Volcanoes quiet.

Update. 1 January 11.45am
East Cape, Tokoroa are added to Mag 5 risk areas.
Forecast map updated.

Update. 2 January 1.45pm
1 January. Northeast of Cape Campbell 4.3 11.52pm
The forecast period is extended to 2 January.
Moderate solar quake driving conditions arrived on time but quakes are sparse.
Quakes may remain infrequent or absent.
New Zealand remains a Pacific quake hotspot.
Be careful.
Forecast map updated.

Summary.
1 January.
Northeast of Cape Campbell 4.3 11.52pm
2 January.
Taupo 3.8 + swarm. 10.12pm
West of Kaikoura 4.6 10.47pm
North of East Cape 4.6 11.17pm
Quakes have come very late in the period.
A push is on into the North Island.
New Zealand and Kermadec Islands are the Pacific hotspot.