Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 10 January 2017

Click to Enlarge

Magnitude 6 risk areas are New Zealand, Kermadec Islands, Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu, Santa Cruz Islands, Banda Sea, Sumatra, North of Vancouver Island, NIcaragua, South of Titicaca.
Southwest Pacific is higher risk.
Quakes are likely to be infrequent.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Bogoslof, Kliuchevskoi, Colima, San Miguel, Sinabung, Semeru.
The period is becoming very volcanic.

Summary.
10 January.
South of Philippines 7.3
Eruption Sinabung. Many volcanoes throwing ash.
11 January.
Makira 6.3
This forecast got messy and quakes ended up straddling different timezones.
The decision to drop some Mag 6 risk areas from the 7-9 Pacific Forecast in favour of volcanoes was premature.
The big Celebes Sea 7.3 was a perfect fit to the previous days forecast....frustrating.
No forecast was offered for 11 January due to other commitments.
The Makira 6.3 was a perfect hit for the previous day and arrived at 4.17am just a few hours late.