Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 23 January 2017

Click to Enlarge

Magnitude 6 risk areas are New Zealand, Kermadec Islands, Tonga, Northern Vanuatu, Santa Cruz Islands, Makira, Bougainville, New Britain, Celebes Sea, Eastern Banda Sea, Honshu, South of Titicaca, North of Valdivia, Mediterranean Sea, Iran, Hindu Kush.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Sinabung, Kliuchevskoi, Zhupanovsky, Bogoslof, Colima.
Possibility Mag 7 Pacific.

Summary.
22 January.
Bougainville 7.9 5.30pm
23 January.
Eruption Bogoslof, Kliuchevskoi, Colima, Reventador.
The Bougainville 7.9 would have fitted an older style 20-23 January forecast but moving to one day forecasts is a whole lot more tenuous.
The 20 January forecast pointed to 23 January as an active day...the 21 January forecast map added Bougainville, Makira, New Britain ( but we didn't add them to the written description )...then we forgot to simply roll over the forecast to 22 January and wait for the expected 23 January action...must've been Sunday.
Pacific quakes then went quiet on 23 January unless you live in New Zealand. (Murphys Law)
Fortunately volcanoes followed the forecast profile.
Bogoslof let off another big brief explosion.
Solar driven extreme weather featured during the forecast period...what happens under the ground happens above.
New Zealand got hammered by rain, wind and heavy snow.
Sahara Desert near the Atlas Mountains got a meter of snow, the first snow for at least 37 years.
One region of Spain had its first snowfall in 118 years.
Sadly the solar driven heavy snow in Italy and Europe last week avalanched onto an Apennine hotel with the accompanying quakes, burying many people alive.
Quakes are easing ahead of a new quake period later in the week.