Pacific Summary. 1 February 2017
Magnitude 6 risk areas are New Zealand, Kermadec Islands, Fiji, Tonga, Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, Bismarck Sea, Eastern Banda Sea, South of Philippines, Western Java, Sumatra, Northern Myanmar, Honshu, Southern Kuril Islands, Southern Alaska, South of Titicaca, South Sandwich Islands, Crete, Southern Greece. Volcanic activity may increase. Etna, Piton de la Fournaise, Sinabung, Shiveluch, Colima, Sabancaya. The period is likely to be extended. Update. 31 January 11.10pm Vanuatu 5.9 Eruption Etna, Bogoslof, Shiveluch. The forecast period is extended to 1 February. Vancouver Island is added to Mag 6 risk areas. Good location success today. Pacific quakes were generally quiet but the biggest, Espiritu Santo 5.9 was right in the zone. Bogoslof has "predictably" erupted again. Alaska is looking very active. The Denali 5.4 was a good location success today in a seldom forecasted area. More Alaska quakes seem possible. Etna is firing up for the first time in several months, activity seems likely to increase next few days as stronger solar conditions set in. Summary. 31 January. Vanuatu 5.9 Denali, Alaska 5.4 Eruption Etna, Bogoslof, Shiveluch. 1 February. Banda Sea 5.3 New Zealand 5.1 Eruption Piton de la Fournaise, Hunga Ha'apai, Sinabung. Quakes were under Mag 6 during the period but good location success...always the more difficult part of any forecast. The big volcanic spell has rumbled on for another day. Great location success. The eruption of Hunga Ha'apai is minor at the moment and apparently began on 23 January, the same time as the Bougainville 7.9 and active period of the 20-23 January forecast period. Etna was apparently quiet on 1 February after erupting the previous day. Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service © 2013 - 2024 |
