Aotearoa Summary. 4 February 2017 - 5 February 2017

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Magnitude 6 risk areas are Culverden, Kaikoura, Seaward Kaikouras, Lower Clarence, Ward, Cape Campbell, North of Cape Campbell, South of Wellington.
Magnitude 5 risk areas are Eketahuna, Dannevirke, Waipukurau, Porangahau, Cape Kidnappers, Opotiki, Whakatane.
Magnitude 4 risk areas are Fiordland, Mt Cook, Haupiri River, West of Masterton, East Cape, Urewera, Rotorua, Tokoroa.
Quakes may be infrequent.
An isolated big quake is possible, solar conditions are on a steadily building trend.
Volcanoes quiet.

Update. 4 February 9.00pm
North of Cape Campbell 4.0 6.47pm
The forecast period is extended to 5 February.
Local and Pacific quakes were subdued today as the volcanic trend continues.
Solar quake driving conditions are weakening but steady so are still winding up a possible quake or two.
Quakes are likely to be infrequent but an isolated big quake is possible.
Volcanoes quiet.

Update. 5 February 12.30pm
4 February. Taranaki Bight 4.6 11.29pm
The Taranaki Bight 4.6 was very widely felt.
The area was dropped from the 3 February forecast...a forecasting mistake.
Another quake is possible today, North Island seems higher risk.

4 February.
North of Cape Campbell 4.0 6.47pm
Taranaki Bight 4.6 11.29pm
5 February.
Offshore Resolution Island 5.1 10.35pm
New Zealand turned out to be the Pacific hotspot during the period.
The wider forecast period still has another couple of days to run so more big action is possible.

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