Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Aotearoa Summary. 9 February 2017

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Magnitude 6 risk areas are Culverden, Kaikoura, Seaward Kaikouras, Lower Clarence, Ward, Cape Campbell, North of Cape Campbell.
Magnitude 5 risk areas are Eketahuna, Dannevirke, Waipukurau, Cape Kidanppers, Northern Hawkes Bay, Wairoa, East Cape, Northeast of East Cape, Opotiki, Whakatane, Rotorua.
Magnitude 4 risk areas are Fiordland, Haupiri River, West of Masterton, South of Taranaki.
Volcanoes quiet.
Cape Campbell is higher risk but Bay of Plenty/East Cape are showing strong signs of pressure.
Quakes are likely to be infrequent but a big isolated quake is possible.
New Zealand is higher risk on the Pacific forecast.
The end of the quake period is near but is often the time for a large quake.
Be careful.

Summary.
South of Kermadecs 5.0 8.26pm
The deep South of Kermadecs 5.0 was the quake indicating North Island pressure was building, justifying the higher risk there.
A swarm of minor quakes was created into all risk locations but luckily solar conditions were weak at the time.
Solar conditions are unlikely to be able to drive quakes on 10 February but the period will run another day just in case there is a temporary uptick in the solar wind.