Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Aotearoa Summary Updated. 13 March 2017

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Magnitude 6 risk areas are Cheviot, Culverden, Kaikoura, Seaward Kaikouras, Ward, Cape Campbell, North of Cape Campbell, Northeast of Cape Campbell, South of Wellington.
Magnitude 5 risk areas are Opotiki, Rotorua.
Magnitude 4 risk areas are Fiordland, Wairoa, East Cape, Atiamuri, Whakatane, Eketahuna, Dannevirke, Waipukurau.
The very long 5-12 March quake period may not be over.
An isolated big quake is possible.

Update. 13 March 10.00am
Solar quake driving conditions are steadily declining this morning and have mostly fallen below the threshold for quakes to occur.
The forecast is maintained at low confidence.

Summary.
The 5-12 March quake period has ended.
Quakes and eruptions are likely to be very subdued or absent for at least a week.
March and April are expected to provide some very active quake periods.

Summary Update.
13 March.
Mt Hutt 4.0 9.41pm
Quakes just reached Mag 4 as solar quake driving conditions faded away.