Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 24 April 2017 - 25 April 2017

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Magnitude 6 risk areas are New Zealand, Kermadec Islands, South of Fiji, Santa Cruz Islands, Western Solomon Islands, Northern Sumatra, Southern Philippines, Hokkaido, South Kuril Islands, South of Titicaca, North of Valparaiso, Italy.
Quakes may arrive late 24 April-early 25 April.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Manam, Sinabung, Etna, Poas, Fuego.
The period may be extended for several days.
Possibility Mag 7 Pacific. Western Solomon Islands are higher risk. Confidence=low.
No forecast updates will be made on 24-25 April.

Summary.
25 April.
Valparaiso 6.9
Mag 6 Pacific quakes have been sparse since the 22 January Bougainville 7.9 marked the end of a six month Mag 7 Pacific quake period...two in New Zealand.
The big Valparaiso 6.9 was a good location success and justified the Pacific Mag 7 risk.
Japanese volcano Sakurajima is erupting.
Manam, Sinabung, Shiveluch, Poas, Langila all throwing ash or minor eruption.
The Southern Philippines 6.8 on 29 April was a good fit to the 24-25 April forecast map.
This Service was too slow offering a Pacific (and New Zealand) forecast for 29-30 April or the Philippines 6.8 was likely to be captured.