Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 21 May 2017 - 23 May 2017

Click to Enlarge

Magnitude 6 risk areas are Kermadec Islands, Tonga, Southern Vanuatu, Solomon Islands, Northern Sumatra, Southern Philippines, Aleutian Islands, Offshore Oregon, Baja California, Mexico, South of Titicaca, Inland Central Chile, South Sandwich Islands, Cyprus.
Philippines are higher risk.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Bogoslof, Colima, Popocatepetl, Manam, Sinabung, Sakurajima, Piton de la Fournaise, Etna.
The forecast period is likely to be extended.

Update. 21 May 11.00pm
21 May.
Southern Mexico 5.7
Eruption Kliuchevskoi, Popocatepetl.
The forecast period is extended to 22 May.
Solar conditions were steady today but quakes never made it to Mag 6.
The Mexico 5.7 was the biggest quake and good location success.
No volcano data today....it must be Sunday.
Solar conditions are set to continue, volcanoes may dominate.

Update. 23 May 1.30am
22 May. Eruption Sakurajima.
The forecast period is extended to 23 May.
Pacific quakes were under Mag 6.
Volcanoes were quieter than expected but more data may arrive later.
Quakes are likely to remain subdued.
Solar conditions are moderate but very steady.
A slow buildup could be underway so an isolated big quake is possible.
The period is likely to be extended.

Summary.
21 May.
Southern Mexico 5.7
Eruption Kliuchevskoi, Popocatepetl.
22 May.
Eruption Sakurajima.
Big Pacific quakes dropped away during the period.
Volcanoes were active but less than expected.
A slow buildup could be underway.