Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Forecast for 10 March 2014 - 12 March 2014

Quake activity may increase. Magnitude 4+ risk areas are East Cape, Fiordland, Southern Wairarapa, Christchurch, Taupo. The area of the Wairarapa Fault west of Masterton, between the Waiohine and Waingawa Rivers is a focal location for Southern Wairarapa. Focal location confidence = low. March 7 Update. East Cape, Southern Wairarapa now raised to Magnitude 5+ risk. Summary. 7 March. Kermadecs 5.5 March 8. Kermadecs 5.0 March 9 Kermadecs 4.9, Eketahuna 4.0 March 10. White Island 4.4 (USGS), California 6.8 March 11. North of East Cape 4.0, Kermadecs 4.8, Antarctica 6.4 March 12. Papua New Guinea 6.1 March 13. Tauranga 4.3, March 14. Japan 6.3 March 15. Peru 6.1 March 16. Peru 6.3 Background activity rose dramatically during the period but luckily nothing large locally. A second period on 13-15 March was not forecasted by this service. Global activity has been very high. Cyclone Lusi retained its strength as ti drifted from Vanuatu to Aotearoa during the period.