Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Forecast for 16 March 2014 - 18 March 2014

Quake activity may increase. Magnitude 6+ risk areas are East Cape, Southern Wairarapa. Magnitude 5+ risk areas are Fiordland. Magnitude 4+ risk areas are Christchurch, Seddon, Taupo. The area of the Wairarapa Fault west of Masterton between the Waiohine and Waingawa Rivers is a focal location for Southern Wairarapa. Focal location confidence =low, Summary. March 15. Peru 6.3 March 17. Chile 6.7, 6.2 March 19. Ward 3.9, Taumarunui 3.9, Chile 5.9 March 20. Kermadecs 5.7, Darfield 4.2 March 22. West of Foxton 4.9, Nicobar Islands 6.3 March 23. Kermadecs 4.9, Kahurangi 4.3, chile 6.2 March 24. Chile 6.0 Quake activity since mid March has been strong globally and locally. A 15-25 March forecast would have made goood sense. Forecasted locations have shown good correlations. Solar driving conditions are focussing quake activity towards the equator at the moment.