Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Aotearoa Summary. 29 August 2017 - 30 August 2017

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Magnitude 4 risk areas are Fiordland, Offshore Milford Sound, Culverden, Seaward Kaikouras, Ward, Cape Campbell, Seddon, Central Cook Strait, North of D'Urville Island, Upper Hutt, Atiwhakatu Stream, Eketahuna, Dannevirke, Waipukurau, Central Hawkes Bay, East Cape, Opotiki, Whakatane, Rotorua, Tokoroa, Taupo, Taumarunui. White Island.
Forecast confidence=low.

Update. 29 August 11.00pm
Local quakes were quiet on 29 August.
Solar quake driving conditions arrived on cue but very weak and maybe not enough to drive local activity. Low confidence was justified.
Isolated Mag 3/4 activity seems possible on 30 August.
Bay of Plenty is higher risk.
Low forecast confidence continues.
A quake pickup seems possible 2 September.

Summary.
1 September.
Eketahuna 3.7 7.50pm
Low confidence was justified.
Quakes never came during the period.
Solar quake driving conditions were very sluggish and never drove local quakes or even equatorial quakes.
Quakes remained quiet on 31 August and 1 September.
The Eketahuna 3.7 was the biggest quake but was too late to be in the forecast period and too early for the following 2-3 September period.