Aotearoa Summary. 5 December 2017 - 10 December 2017

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Magnitude 4 risk locations are Opotiki, East Cape, Northeast of East Cape, Wairoa, Northern Hawkes Bay, Waipukurau, Dannevirke, Eketahuna, Castlepoint, Rimutaka Ranges, Orongorongo Ranges, South of Turakirae Head, Northern Cook Strait, Northeast of Seddon, Cape Campbell, Kaikoura, Seaward Kaikouras, Culverden, Cheviot, George Sound, Milford Sound, Fox Glacier.
Lunar modulation may center quakes around low tide.
Low tide Cook Strait = 12.00am, 12.00pm
Volcanoes quiet.
The forecast period is likely to be extended.

Update. 6 December 4.00am
Local quakes were quiet on 5 December.
The forecast period is extended to 6 December.
St Arnaud, Murchison are added to Mag 4 risk locations.
Quakes are likely to be isolated, building up more on 7 December as the period progresses.
Quakes may be lunar modulated to low tide.
Low tide Cook Strait = 2pm.

Update. 7 December 12.00am
6 December.
Southwest of Taumarunui 4.9 1.56pm
Local quakes were isolated on 6 December.
The SW of Taumarunui 4.9 was widely felt across the lower North Island.
No lunar modulation apparent. High tide Taranaki was 12.30pm
Solar conditions ticked along steadily today.
The buildup from the beginning of the forecast period may start releasing late 7 December.
Local quakes may increase late 7 December.

Update. 8 December 12.30am
7 December.
Southeast of Nelson 5.0 9.30pm Low tide 7.30pm
Local quakes increased in Nelson late 7 December.
Slight lunar modulation was possible.
The addition of St Arnaud, Murchison to the map on 6 December may be justified.
Solar condiitions are set to continue on 8 December.
Isolated, high Magnitude quake activity is possible again on 8 December.
St Arnaud, Murchison are higher risk locations.

Update. 9 December 12.30am
8 December.
North of East Cape 4.0, 3.7, 4.1 7.58am
Lake Te Anau 3.7 3.20pm
Big action north of New Zealand today as a heavy push came across the whole Pacific.
Solar conditions look set to continue on 9 December.
Rotorua, Tokoroa, Taupo, Taumarunui are added to Mag 4 risk locations.
Isolated, high magnitude quakes seem possible on 9 December.
The forecast period is likely to be extended.

Summary.
6 December.
Southwest of Taumarunui 4.9 1.56pm
7 December.
Southeast of Nelson 5.0 9.30pm Low tide 7.30pm
8 December.
North of East Cape 4.0, 3.7, 4.1 7.58am
Lake Te Anau 3.7 3.20pm
9 December.
Seaward Kaikouras 4.2 7.44pm
The deep Taumarunui 4.9 was widely felt across the lower North Island.
The Nelson 5.0 was just one shake and then it was over. The quake may justify the addition of St Arnaud and Murchison to Mag 4 risk locations, the quake was about 15 km southeast of Nelson in the Richmond Ranges.
Good location success late in the period and also at L'Esperance Rock 6.2 in the Southern Kermadec Islands.
The tiny rock is the highest point of a large underwater volcanic caldera.
Solar conditions faded away on 10 December.
Lunar influence, if any, was minor on quakes but has influenced weather.
New solar weather conditions may arrive late 11 December.
A forecast will be posted later.





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