Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 10 March 2018 - 12 March 2018

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Magnitude 6 risk locations are Pangai, Southern Vanuatu, Papua New Guinea Highland, Northern Banda Sea, Papua, Molucca Sea, Borneo, Northern Sumatra, Nicobar Islands, Southern Myanmar, Guam, Aleutian Islands, Offshore Northern California, South of Valdivia, Patagonia, South Sandwich Islands.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Kadovar, Sinabung, Mayon, Kirishima, Sakurajima.

Update. 11 March 3.00pm
10 March.
Eruption Mayon, Sakurajima, Kirishima.
11 March.
Atlantic Ocean 5.9 10.45am
Mild solar quake and eruption conditions arrived on cue.
Pacific quakes were generally quiet.
Eruptions were easy forecast picks.
Kirishima, near neighbour to Sakurajima has been getting hotter for several days with ash eruptions and now lava.
Solar conditions then faded quickly ahead of an expected slight rise today which is now here.
A late isolated Pacific quake is possible on 11 March before solar conditions fade away.
A new stronger quake period is possible from early 15 March, lasting several days and with strongest activity at the beginning and end of the period.

Summary.
10 March.
New Ireland 5.8 12.06am
South of Fiji 5.7 5.23am
Eruption Mayon, Sakurajima, Kirishima.
11 March.
Atlantic Ocean 5.9 10.45am
Moderate Japanese eruptions dominated a moderate quake period.
Mild solar quake driving conditions arrived on cue.
Pacific quakes came in a cluster at the start of the period.
Mag 4 quakes in New Zealand followed shortly after the New Ireland 5.8 aftershock and South of Fiji 5.7.
Weak solar conditions lingered for a couple of days but not strong enough in the end to drive any more big quakes.
A new forecast period begins very early 15 March and may be long with most activity at the beginning and end of the period