Pacific Summary Updated. 10 April 2018 - 17 April 2018

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Magnitude 6 risk locations are South of New Zealand, Kermadec Islands, Southern Vanuatu, New Britain, New Guinea Highland, Northern New Guinea, Papua, Molucca Sea, Banda Sea, Southern Sumatra, Guam, Marianas Trench, Southwestern Honshu, Baja California, Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Southern Peru, Titicaca, South Sandwich Islands.
Possibility Mag 7 Pacific. Mag 7 confidence=low.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Manaro, Kadovar, Sinabung, Kirishima, Sakurajima, Suwanosejima, Sierra Negra, Reventador, Piton de la Fournaise, Etna.
The forecast period is likely to be extended for several days.

Update. 11 April 1.00am
10 April.
North of Valparaiso 6.2 10.19pm
Eruption Manaro.
Solar quake driving conditions arrived on cue and are here for several days.
The ongoing eruption of Manaro is now on the verge of causing a second mass evacution of Aoba.
The forecast period is extended to 11 April.
Apennines are added to Mag 6 risk locations.
A Pacific quake buildup is possibly underway.
Possibility Mag 7 Pacific.

Update. 12 April 2.30pm
11 April.
Southern Mexico 5.5 7.30pm
Eruption Sakurajima, Suwanosejima.
Ongoing eruptions in Japan.
Pacific quakes were quiet on 11 April.
Steady solar quake driving conditions seem set to continue until 16 April.
Isolated Mag 6 quakes are possible ahead of a quake peak on 16 April.
South of Kermadec Islands is added to Mag 6 risk locations.

Update. 13 April 9.00am
Pacific quakes are below Mag 6.
Solar quake driving conditions are moderate and steady.
Isolated Mag 6 quakes are possible on 13 April.
A quake peak is possible 16 April.
Eastern Honshu, Southeast of Honshu is added to Mag 6 risk locations.

Update. 15 April 9.00pm
13 April.
South Sandwich Islands 5.3 4.24am
14 April.
North of New Zealand 5.0 1.38am
South Sandwich Islands 5.5 8.17pm
15 April.
Azores Islands 5.3 4.53am
Eruption Ebeko, Sinabung.
Quakes were isolated and below Mag 6 during the typically less active middle section of the forecast period.
Good location success on the biggest daily quakes.
Action has shifted substantially from the SW Pacific in the last quake period to South and Central America this time.
Guerrero, Colima are added to Mag 6 risk locations.
Solar conditions have been steady but moderate during the period.
Following quakes are also moderate.
A slight quake pickup is possible 16 April as the forecast period closes.
Despite the 2018 Pacific Mag 7 spell, Mag 7 seems unlikely on 16 April.
Moderate volcanic action during the period may pickup 16/17 April.
No news for Piton de la Fournaise...it must be Sunday.
Constant ashfall over several weeks from Manaro has caused a second evacuation from Aoba, the Vanuatu Government has declared the island a disaster zone.

Summary.
10 April.
North of Valparaiso 6.2 10.19pm
Eruption Manaro.
11 April.
Southern Mexico 5.5 7.30pm
Eruption Sakurajima, Suwanosejima.
13 April.
South Sandwich Islands 5.3 4.24am
14 April.
North of New Zealand 5.0 1.38am
South Sandwich Islands 5.5 8.17pm
15 April.
Azores Islands 5.3 4.53am
Eruption Ebeko, Sinabung.
16 April.
Molucca Sea 5.9 7.30am
The forecast period has probably ended early 16 April with the Molucca Sea 5.9.
Solar conditions have rapidly faded away off a very moderate period.
Volcanic activity may continue 17 April, an update will be posted in that case.
No news for Piton de la Fournaise or Kadovar.
The ongoing eruption of Manaro has driven locals away.
Quakes barely reached Mag 6 during the period, location success was good.
Multiple quakes in South Sandwich Islands, Chile 6.2 and Mexico 5.5 made South and Central America the hotspots...a big switch from the SW Pacific in the previous period.
The forecast outlook for a continuation of the 2018 Mag 7 period was dropped on 15 April due to the mild solar quake driving conditions.
The Molucca Sea 5.9 justified the outlook for a moderate quake peak on 16 April as the forecast period closed.
A new quake period begins 21 April.

Summary Updated.
17 April.
Ceram Sea 5.5 2.52pm
Eruption Sakurajima.
The forecast period has been closed too early, action has continued on 17 April.
The Ceram Sea 5.5 is biggest Pacific quake and good location success.
No major volcano action on 17 April.
No news for Piton de la Fournaise.
The lava lake at Kilauea is rising.
A new and possible brief quake period begins 21 April.

















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