Pacific Summary. 29 May 2018 - 31 May 2018

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Magnitude 6 risk location Kilauea.
The forecast period is likely to be extended to 1 June.

Update. 30 May 11.30pm.
29 May.
Kilauea 4.5
Kermadec Islands 5.2
Eruption Sakurajima
30 May.
Vanuatu 5.4
A decent sized ash eruption to 3000m accompanied the significant Kilauea 4.5 before going quiet.
Pacific quakes are otherwise well below Mag 6.
Daily eruptions at Sakurajima continue regardless of solar conditions.
Lava is flowing in impressive quantities at Leilani Estates.
Another eruption with accompanying quake as more of the Halema'uma'u crater collapses seems possible ahead of strong solar conditions due late 1 June and bigger action at Kilauea and the Pacific.
The forecast period is extended to 31 May.

Summary.
29 May.
Kilauea 4.5
Kermadec Islands 5.2
Eruption Sakurajima
30 May.
Vanuatu 5.4
31 May.
Kilauea/Halema'uma'u 5.3 8.53am
Two big quakes at Halema'uma'u during the period have justified the forecast.
Fountaining and lava flows at the East Rift are making news headlines.
Lava flow rates decreased during the period despite the spectacular fountains.
Pacific quakes and volcanoes were otherwise subdued during the period.
Strong new solar conditions are due late on 1 June.
Big action at Halema'uma'u seems possible.

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