Pacific Summary. 11 September 2018 - 16 September 2018
Magnitude 6 risk locations are South of New Zealand, New Zealand, South of Kermadecs, Sumatra, Eastern Himalaya, Molucca Sea, South of Guam, Southern Philippines, Southern Japan, Izu Islands, North Kuril Islands, Baja California, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, Atacama, South of Atacama, Valparaiso, Valdivia. Strong new solar conditions have set in as this forecast is posted. South America risk locations=low confidence. The forecast period is likely to be extended. Be careful. Update. 11 Sept. 9.30am South of Vanuatu 6.3 7.31am Strong solar conditions have set in overnight and more big Pacific quakes today seem likely. Social media is quiet this morning after Dutchsinse forecasts went viral in New Zealand yesterday and NZ Government agencies stepped in to dismiss him.. A big quake here will see him back in the social media spotlight but whether mainstream media can stop him leaking through onto their pages remains to be seen.. Apparently Ken Ring has a forecast out for New Zealand today so that makes four quake forecast services looking for big action on 9/11. Be careful. Update. 12 September 12.30am 11 September. South of Vanuatu 6.3 7.31am Eruption Sakurajima, Ebeko. A big aftershock to the 29 August South of Vanuatu 7.1 wasn't a risk location anymore as the forecast went looking further north in Vanuatu. Pacific quakes then went quiet for the rest of the day. Solar quake driving conditions were strong and steady all day. A Pacific pressure buildup is underway and likely to release over the next three days. The forecast period is extended to 12 September. Kashmir, Timor, South Banda Sea are added to Mag 6 risk locations. Mag 7+ is possible. Update. 12 September 10.00am South of Kermadec Islands are added to Mag 7 risk locations. European quake activity may increase. Apennines, Aegean Sea. Update. 13 September 10.00am Pacific quakes were under Mag 6 on 13 September. The Cyprus 5.2 was slightly outside the Aegean Sea but a significant quake. Light action on the Eastern Himalaya hotspot, Bhutan 5.3. Volcanoes are hot. Karymsky, Nevados de Chillan, Turrialba, Etna, Ebeko, Popoctepetl either pluming or in low eruption. Solar conditions are moderate on a weakening trend as the active end of the forecast period approaches and quakes begin to unwind. Isolated Pacific quakes are possible on 13 September. Mag 7 is possible. Strong solar conditions and lunar perigee have brought a big storm powerup in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. Typhoon Mankhut Cat 5 is heading directly towards Northern Philippines. Hurricane Florence is heading towards South Carolina and could be wet. Many other equatorial storms have suddenly formed up as a result of strong auroral activity. The forecast period will be extended. Update. 14 September 1.00pm Eruption Sarychev, Krakatoa. Pacific quakes went quiet following the South of Vanuatu 6.3 as solar quake driving conditions went through a buildup phase. Pacific quakes are now probably in a release phase as the end of the forecast period approaches. The forecast period is extended to 15 September. South of Kermadec Islands, Kermadec Islands, Tonga are higher risk. Mag 7+ is possible. Summary. 11 September. South of Vanuatu 6.3 7.31am Eruption Sakurajima, Ebeko. 12 September. Cyprus 5.2 6.21pm Eruption Sarychev, Krakatoa. 15 September. North Papua 5.8 3.30am 16 September. Eruption Piton de la Fournaise, Suwanosejima. Pacific quakes were busy during the period but quakes barely made Mag 6. Good location success though in North Papua. The significant Cyprus 5.2 followed the addition of Aegean Sea to European risk locations. Good timing success but Cyprus isn't in the Aegean Sea. The period was very volcanic which tends to bring less quake activity. Large shield volcano Piton de la Fournaise has erupted for the fourth time this year...thats a lot. Solar conditions are picking up again tonight, a new forecast is being processed. The Pacific Mag 7 quake spell is probably not over. Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service © 2013 - 2024 |
