Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 17 December 2018 - 21 December 2018

Magnitude 6 risk locations are South of Kermadec Islands, Kermadec Islands, Tonga, New Britain, Bismarck Sea, Northern Papua New Guinea, Molucca Sea, Valparaiso, Vallenar, South Sandwich Islands.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Ambrym, Soputan.
Other regularly erupting volcanoes are likely to remain active.
The period is likely to be brief.
A forecast summary for 1-16 December will be posted soon.
Note. An Aotearoa forecast won't be posted due to lack of time.
North Island is higher risk.

Summary.
17 December.
Offshore West Australia 5.8 3.26am
18 December.
New Britain 5.5 12.14am
19 December.
West Chile Rise 6.2 2.37pm
20 December.
New Britain 5.7 10.37am
21 December.
Offshore East Kamchatka Peninsula 7.4 6.01am
New Britain 5.9 7.33pm

This forecast was hastily made and no time for a New Zealand forecast.
The forecast outlook for a brief period was eaten up by the continuing very long lasting solar wind stream and quakes kept coming, including the fourth Mag 7 in December.
No updates were given due to lack of time and the forecast ended up a shambles.
Biggest daily quakes are plotted onto the map.
Solar conditions are mild and weakening on 22 December, more quakes are possible.