Pacific Summary. 16 April 2019 - 22 April 2019

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Magnitude 6 risk locations are Kermadec Islands, Hihifo, Bismarck Sea, South Banda Sea, Timor, Molucca Sea, Nicobar Islands, Myanmar, Eastern Himalaya, Okinawa, Offshore Hokkaido, Eastern Kamchatka, Rat Islands, Offshore Northern California, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Valparaiso, Valdivia.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Shiveluch, Krakatau, Bromo, Agung, Popocatepetl.

Update. 17 April 1.30pm
16 April.
Kermadec Islands/L'Esperance Rock 5.8 9.22pm
Kermadec Islands/L'Esperance Rock 5.7 9.39pm
17 April.
South of L'Esperance Rock 5.5 4.01am
Solar conditions have arrived on cue but weak.
Quakes haven't responded much unless you live near New Zealand.
The heavy Southern Kermadecs action this year continues.
The Gisborne slow slip event, heating at White Island and Ruapehu possibly means New Zealand quakes and eruptions are more likely in 2019.
Solar conditions are weak today.
Quakes are likely to be infrequent.
Efate, Southern Atacama are added to Mag 6 risk locations.
The forecast period may end 17/18 April.

Summary.
16 April.
Kermadec Islands/L'Esperance Rock 5.8 9.22pm
Kermadec Islands/L'Esperance Rock 5.7 9.39pm
Eruption Bromo.
17 April.
South of L'Esperance Rock 5.5 4.01am
18 April.
Eastern Taiwan 6.1 5.01pm
19 April.
South of Tasmania 6.5 2.46am
21 April.
Eruption Agung, Kliuchevskoi.
22 April.
Philippines/Northwest of Manila 6.1 9.11pm
This forecast had some early success in the Kermadecs and the ongoing eruption of Java Zone volcanos.
Solar conditions were never strong during the period and were fading by 17 April.
The forecast was dropped on 18 April just as quakes arrived.
Location success limited, Okinawa was too far northeast of the Taiwan 6.1.
The Pacific/Antarctic Ridge 6.5 or any mid ocean ridge quake is unable to be forecasted with the current technology.
Agung continues the steady eruptive activity in the Java Volcano Zone along with Bromo, Merapi and Krakatoa which are in constant low eruptive states
New solar conditions due on 24 April are likely to be stronger than the very mild conditions driving this forecast period.

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