Pacific Summary. 16 April 2019 - 22 April 2019
Volcanic activity may increase. Shiveluch, Krakatau, Bromo, Agung, Popocatepetl. Update. 17 April 1.30pm 16 April. Kermadec Islands/L'Esperance Rock 5.8 9.22pm Kermadec Islands/L'Esperance Rock 5.7 9.39pm 17 April. South of L'Esperance Rock 5.5 4.01am Solar conditions have arrived on cue but weak. Quakes haven't responded much unless you live near New Zealand. The heavy Southern Kermadecs action this year continues. The Gisborne slow slip event, heating at White Island and Ruapehu possibly means New Zealand quakes and eruptions are more likely in 2019. Solar conditions are weak today. Quakes are likely to be infrequent. Efate, Southern Atacama are added to Mag 6 risk locations. The forecast period may end 17/18 April. Summary. 16 April. Kermadec Islands/L'Esperance Rock 5.8 9.22pm Kermadec Islands/L'Esperance Rock 5.7 9.39pm Eruption Bromo. 17 April. South of L'Esperance Rock 5.5 4.01am 18 April. Eastern Taiwan 6.1 5.01pm 19 April. South of Tasmania 6.5 2.46am 21 April. Eruption Agung, Kliuchevskoi. 22 April. Philippines/Northwest of Manila 6.1 9.11pm This forecast had some early success in the Kermadecs and the ongoing eruption of Java Zone volcanos. Solar conditions were never strong during the period and were fading by 17 April. The forecast was dropped on 18 April just as quakes arrived. Location success limited, Okinawa was too far northeast of the Taiwan 6.1. The Pacific/Antarctic Ridge 6.5 or any mid ocean ridge quake is unable to be forecasted with the current technology. Agung continues the steady eruptive activity in the Java Volcano Zone along with Bromo, Merapi and Krakatoa which are in constant low eruptive states New solar conditions due on 24 April are likely to be stronger than the very mild conditions driving this forecast period. Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service © 2013 - 2020 |
