Pacific Summary. 14 June 2019 - 19 June 2019
Volcanic activity may increase. Agung, Krakatau, Sinabung, Kliuchevskoi. Eruptions are likely to be very moderate. Update. 14 June 10.30pm 14 June. Chile/Offshore Coquimbo 6.4 12.19pm Moderate solar conditions have arrived on cue. The Coquimbo 6.4 is the first Mag 6 since 31 May. Low quake activity is following the low solar conditions that accompany Solar Minimum as the sun goes through the low point of its 11 year cycle. The 2019/2020 Solar Minimum is now the weakest in a century. Quakes in other areas are mostly in risk locations but under Mag 6. The forecast period is extended to 15 June. Pacific quakes and eruptions are likely to be isolated. Update. 16 June 6.00pm 16 June. Tonga 6.1 9.56am Kermadec Islands/100km NE of L'Esperance Rock 7.2 10.55am Kermadec Islands/NE L'Esperance Rock 6.3 5.17pm, 5.5 Southwest Pacific hotspots Tonga and Kermadec Islands have gone off today in quick succession. The switch back to Kermadecs/Tonga has been picked up by the forecast, following a quiet spell in these locations. L'Esperance Rock is a very remote location so no damage unless you are a seagull. The quake was too small and too deep at 35km to create a tsunami. Spaceweather is fluctuating but generally fading today as the end of the forecast period approaches. More aftershocks seem possible on 17 June despite fading solar conditions. Our main forecaster is on a flight to London tonight so no updates will be posted in the next day. Summary. 14 June. Chile/Offshore Coquimbo 6.4 12.19pm 16 June. Tonga 6.1 9.56am Kermadec Islands/100km NE of L'Esperance Rock 7.2 10.55am Kermadec Islands/NE L'Esperance Rock 6.3 5.17pm, 5.5 17 June. L'Esperance Rock 6.0 7.02am 18 June. Northwest Honshu 6.4 2.22pm This forecast picked up a big quake switch to the Kermadec Islands and Tonga, following a quiet spell in these locations. The Northwest Honshu 6.4 was inland and not quite in the offshore location forecasted but could be linked. Volcanos never got going during the period. The forecast was dropped on 18 June and no data was kept for the next two weeks. The Opposition of Jupiter on 11 June has brought no large earthquakes, not showing any planetary link to earthquakes once again. Planetary position, if any, in creating earthquakes seems minor to solar activity and lunar position. Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service © 2013 - 2024 |
