Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Forecast for 28 August 2014 - 1 September 2014

Quake activity may increase. Magnitude 4+ risk areas are East Cape, Taranaki Bight, Northern Wairarapa, Fiordland. Global activity near the equator or Northern Hemisphere is more likely. Volcanic activity may rise from 30 August on Bardarbunga, a major eruption is likely. Recent calm weather in Aotearoa may return to SW gales. 29 August. Bay of Plenty is now added to Magnitude 4+ risk areas. Summary. 24-27 Aug. Iceland 5+ many. 28 Aug. East Cape 4.0, south of Kermadecs 4.7. 30 Aug. South of Fiordland 4.6? Iceland 5+ many. 31 Aug. Iceland 5+many, 1 Sept. Taumarunui 4.7, Kermadecs 5.4. 2 Sept. Iceland 4.2. 3 Sept. Kermadecs 5.0. The forecast period was more active in the Northern Hemisphere/Equator regions as expected with big volcanic action. Geonet reported a Magniitude 3+ swarm at White Island on 28 Aug. A Mag3+ swarm occurred across NZ on 30 Aug. The period ended with a bump on 1 Sept. Watch out for bigger quake and volcano action in September.