Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Aotearoa Summary. 11 November 2019 - 12 November 2019

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Magnitude 4 risk locations are Pyke River, Cascade River, Upper Rakaia, Upper Hokitika, Murchison, Eastern Kahurangi, Motueka, South of Wanganui, Waverley, Eketahuna, Dannevirke, Waipukurau, Hastings, Napier, Taihape, Ohakune, Ruapehu, Taumarunui, Taupo, Kinloch, Atiamuri.
Volcanos quiet.
Spaceweather is moderate, the period is likely to be brief.
Note. 15km South of Motueka 4.2 9.49pm High tide 10.00pm has occurred as this forecast is being processed. (Murphys Law)
More Mag 4 quakes are possible in this location during the period.
Quakes may be lunar modulated to low tide.

Summary.
11 November.
South of Motueka 4.2 9.49pm
12 November.
Northwest of Te Anau 4.1 5.18pm
This forecast had a great behind the scenes location success but the forecast was posted 20 minutes too late and has no value as a scientific forecast.
Moderate spaceweather was picking up as the forecast was being processed but only lasted a day.
A brief spell of local quakes followed.
Solar conditions remain quiet ahead of a more powerful quake spell 20 November.