Aotearoa Forecast Updated. 15 March 2021 - 17 March 2021

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Update. 16 March 5.30pm
15 March.
Matawai 3.8 1.13pm EMSC
20km Northeast of Mahia 4.9 2.12pm EMSC
Picton 3.8 3.40pm
Quakes were busy in New Zealand on 15 March.
Local vulcanologists report a small increase in activity at White Island.
The forecast outlook for heating at White Island following the 5 March East of East Cape 7.3 may be justified.
A possible undersea eruption further north at the Kermadecs or Tonga fits with action at White Island.
Heating at White Island and possibly Volcanic Plateau may increase when new sunspot activity arrives in a few days.
Spaceweather has eased today, the period may have ended.
Local quakes are likely to be infrequent on 17 March.
A forecast mistake means the period started on 12 March instead of the forecasted 15 March.

Forecast. 15 March 2021.
Mag 6 risk location is South of Kermadec Islands.
Mag 5 risk location is East of East Cape.
Mag 4 risk locations are Tokomaru Bay, Tolaga Bay, North of Napier, Hastings, Waipukurau, Dannevirke, Porangahau, Eketahuna, South of Taranaki, South of Wanganui, D"Urville Island, Mana, Cape Campbell, Ward, Seddon, Upper Awatere Valley, Lower Landsborough River, Northwest Arm Te Anau, Doubtful Sound, Snares Islands.
Volcanos quiet.
The period is likely to be extended.

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