Aotearoa Forecast Updated. 9 August 2021 - 13 August 2021
11 August. 25km West of Timaru 4.1 1.03am 12 August. South of Puysegur Point 3.7 12.09am 13 August. East of East Cape 4.0 4.08am Spaceweather was never strong during the period, local quakes have remained subdued. Luckily no big quakes have come to New Zealand during the 2 week long Pacific quake period. Pacific quakes have fluctuated during the period with no Mag 6 action then suddenly double Mag 7 quakes. Quake fluctuations and very patchy spaceweather are justifying forecast low confidence. Update. 10 August 11.00pm 10 August. Motiti Island 3.9 8.35am North of East Cape 4.3 10.06am Very patchy spaceweather isn't driving much quake activity in New Zealand. More spaceweather may arrive tonight but seems likely to be weak. A weak burst of quakes is possible on 11 August. The period is volcanic in the Pacific so quake energy is low. Forecast confidence=low. Update. 9 August 1.00pm South of Fiordland is added to Mag 5 risk locations. Cape Campbell, Southern Cook Strait, Ward, Kekerengu, Tapuaenuku are added to Mag 4 risk locations. Spaceweather is quiet, the forecasted solar windstream still could arrive later today. Forecast. 9-10 August 2021. Magnitude 4 risk locations are Northwest of Snares Islands, Doubtful Sound, Northwest Arm Te Anau, Bligh Sound, Offshore Milford Sound, Landsborough River, Upper Rakaia River, Wilberforce River, St. Arnaud, Waipukurau, Porangahau, Matawai, Tolaga Bay. Volcanos quiet. Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service © 2013 - 2024 |
