Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Aotearoa Summary. 10 August 2022 - 16 August 2022

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Despite early Kp6 geomagnetic storms, mild local quakes came late and after the forecast was dropped.
Good location success at Otira and South of Kermadecs however, confirming once again the forecast rule that quakes after a forecast period ends or is dropped are more likely in risk locations from that period.
Tectonic and weather response is often sluggish outside of spring and autumn aurora seasons and this period was no exception.
New spaceweather is due 17 August.
A forecast is being processed.
13 August.
20km South of White Island 3.8 8.45am
Otira 3.5 6.50pm
15 August.
South of Kermadecs 6.6 1.44am

Forecast. 10-11 August 2022.
Magnitude 5 risk locations are East Taranaki, South of Kermadecs.
Magnitude 4 risk locations are East Cape, Waipukurau, Taupo, South of Taranaki, Cape Campbell, Otira, Upper Hokitika River, Lower Arawhata River, Cascade River, Pyke River, Northwest Arm Te Anau, Doubtful Sound, Northwest of Snares Islands.
Volcanos quiet.