Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Pacific Summary. 10 August 2022 - 16 August 2022

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Early Kp6 auroras weren't enough to get an early tectonic response and the forecast was dropped just as quakes began to pick up.
Quakes were just under Mag 6 from 13 August, picking up and moving into SW Pacific risk locations later on with excellent location success on 15 August.
Despite the forecast being dropped early, the forecast rule that quakes after a period ends are more likely in risk locations from that period has held.
New spaceweather from filament eruptions and a coronal hole windstream is due 17 August.
A forecast is being processed.
13 August.
Mindanao 5.8 6.25pm
Eruption Shiveluch
14 August.
South of Espiritu Santo 5.7 1.02am
Eastern Papua New Guinea 5.9 6.57am
South of Espiritu Santo 5.9 3.11pm
15 August.
South of Kermadec Islands 6.6 1.44am
Hunter Island 6.4 9.04am

Forecast. 10-11 August 2022.
Magnitude 6 risk locations are South of Kermadec Islands, Kermadec Islands, Hunter Island, Southern Vanuatu, Eastern New Britain, Bougainville, South Banda Sea, Southern Sumatra, Eastern Himalaya, Eastern Honshu, Offshore Vancouver Island, Offshore Northern California, Gulf of California, North of Lima, Southern Peru, Antofagasta, South of Valdivia.
Volcanic activity may increase.