Pacific Forecast Updated. 5 December 2022 - 11 December 2022
7-8 December. Mauna Loa 200 meter lava fountains. 8 December. West Java 5.8 1.50pm 123km 11 December. Lascar Solar wind from Coronal Hole 1119 arrived almost a day earlier than forecast, driving brief Kp5 geomagnetic conditions. The global volcanic period has continued with a new eruption and upticks in ongoing eruptions. A major increase in lava flowing from Mauna Loa with fountains to 200 meters and strongly oscillating conditions was noted by USGS volcanologists at the onset of geomagnetic storming. Lava has steadily slowed down until today with no more fountaining and a dramatic slowdown, coinciding again with weakening spaceweather. Advancing lava has stalled about 2km from the highway crossing Hawaii. Eruptions at Stromboli and Etna are ongoing. Volcanologists at Stromboli say the eruption is the biggest for years with lava flowing to the sea and making a new delta. The initial pyroclastic eruption threw out enough ash and lava to make a tiny tsunami. Atacama volcano Lascar has gone off with a bang but fortunately is remote. No news from Fernandina. Spaceweather is easing today and volcanos are cooling slightly in response. No new coronal hole windstreams are leaving the Sun and sunspots are frequent but not very active. Java has been a quake and volcano hotspot during November/December. More West Java action seems possible next couple of days as Coronal Hole 1119 fades away. Update. 6 December 11.00am 5 December. Hunter Island 5.5 8.00am 100km NE Hihifo 6.7 8.24am Eruption Semeru, Stromboli Big volcano action continues during the period and good quake risk location success. Biggest pyroclastic eruption in years has sent thousands fleeing at Semeru. Luckily no casualties. Stromboli has joined nearby Etna in eruption. Hunter Island 5.5 was followed 24 minutes later by Hihifo 6.7. New coronal hole windstream possibly Kp5/6 is due late 8 December. More SW Pacific quake action may occur on 8 December. Volcanos may fire again, including Fernandina. Eastern Himalaya, Santa Cruz Islands are added to Mag 6 risk locations. Forecast. 5 December 11.00am Magnitude 6 risk locations are Kermadec Islands, Tonga, South of Fiji, Hunter Island, Central Java, Northeastern Honshu, California, Atacama, Valparaiso. Ongoing eruptions at Mauna Loa, Shiveluch are likely to continue. New fissures may open or lava increase at Mauna Loa. New eruption possible at Fernandina. The period is likely to remain mostly volcanic. Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service © 2013 - 2024 |
