Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service

Forecast for 2 December 2014 - 5 December 2014

Quake activity may increase. Mag. 5+ risk areas are East Cape, Bay of Plenty. Mag 4+ risk areas are Gisborne, Hawkes Bay, North Wairarapa, Taupo, Fiordland. Fiordland may become active on 5 December. Global volcanoes may increase activity after 5 December. NZ volcanoes quiet. Weather across NZ and globally may become very stormy after 4 December. Summary. 2 Dec. South of Snares Islands 5.1, Alexandra 4.1, east of East Cape 4.5, 4.1, 4.0; NW of New Plymouth 5.1, W of New Plymouth 4.4, Philippines 6.6 4 Dec. Tolaga Bay 4.8, Waipukurau 4.3, Seddon 4.3 5 Dec Kermadecs 4.6, 5.4; Fiordland 3.8 6 Dec. Castlepoint 4.5, Panama 6.0, Banda Sea 6.0 This was a very successful forecast. Widespread quakes arrived on 2 Dec. not moving from north to south as forecasted. Good location success. Very active Pacific quakes. Global volcanoes are now too many to follow individually. Fogo big lava eruption, Japan, Sinabung, Kilauea, Bardarbunga etc.