Pacific Summary. 28 June 2025 - 30 June 2025
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Weak spaceweather from Coronal Hole 1302 arrived 25 June, barely reaching Kp5.
High solar wind speed of 800km/second kept the weak period running until 30 June with a mild tectonic response expected late in the period.
A mild quake response occurred on 29 June with excellent risk location success 100km south of Mindanao in the Molucca Sea.
The Scotia Sea 6.6 is in a very difficult area to forecast.
A weak volcanic response occurred during the forecast period.
Kilauea is erupting regularly with very high 300m+ lava fountains.
Strong volcanic activity at Kyushu during the period is slightly worrying in that Japanese psychic Ryo Tatsuki forecasted this area in 1999 for a big undersea eruption and tsunami.
Shinmoedake erupted on 22 June for the first time since June 2018 and Suwanosejima also with decent ash eruptions.
A undersea ongoing Mag 5 quake swarm south of Suwanosejima began at the same time as the 22 June eruption of Shinmoedake on Kyushu.
These volcanos all erupt regularly with minor ash eruptions but right now they seem to be all active at the same time and with slightly stronger eruptions than normal.
28 June.
100km South of Mindanao 6.1 11.07am
Scotia Sea 6.6 8.32pm
Eruption Suwanosejima
29 June.
Eruption Lewotolo, Kilauea, Shiveluch.
Forecast. 28-30 June 2025.
Magnitude 6 risk locations are West of Auckland Island, Kermadec Islands, Hunter Island, Bougainville, Eastern New Britain, Eastern Banda Sea, Molucca Sea, Offshore Eastern Mindanao, Bonin Islands, South of Kyushu, Offshore Northern California, Offshore Southern Mexico, Valdivia.
Volcanic activity may increase.
Lewotolo, Dukono, Shinmoedake, Shiveluch.
A coronal hole driven windstream setting in on 25 June may reproduce a strong volcanic response as with the early June forecast period.
Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service © 2013 - 2025
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